Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 162.508714 188.839959 219.519968 258.267023 306.410449 364.950396 4.425930e+02
2025-06-08 124.245973 155.747840 196.411202 254.020695 335.714475 450.994141 6.329890e+02
2025-06-15 108.245532 142.971380 191.153188 265.453464 382.194395 568.397172 9.113892e+02
2025-06-22 91.117382 124.517382 173.128715 252.562831 386.789634 621.271510 1.109102e+03
2025-06-29 81.051330 114.125593 164.353526 250.880343 407.433056 706.298093 1.411084e+03
2025-07-06 73.416508 106.057454 157.485289 250.316881 429.046091 800.035378 1.791140e+03
2025-07-13 70.150838 104.178761 159.986275 266.106577 485.499979 988.623423 2.562530e+03
2025-07-20 68.011146 103.722036 164.620797 286.580777 557.830516 1249.958775 3.846809e+03
2025-07-27 63.503064 98.697071 160.421909 288.821507 590.541153 1427.583449 5.087289e+03
2025-08-03 60.246554 95.416425 158.860218 296.051229 637.497663 1674.599786 7.091200e+03
2025-08-10 56.415621 90.689478 153.918625 294.997780 663.198005 1871.748098 9.305215e+03
2025-08-17 53.506727 87.320745 151.144275 298.239748 701.872474 2143.761807 1.289355e+04
2025-08-24 50.069428 82.946201 146.437533 297.662262 734.767976 2445.114131 1.842684e+04
2025-08-31 46.526802 78.078425 140.230112 292.599643 754.001644 2718.773466 2.583799e+04
2025-09-07 44.982951 76.859003 141.422869 306.360868 840.976551 3431.435111 4.891811e+04
2025-09-14 41.299209 71.093462 132.145563 290.848567 820.556364 3540.167603 6.202612e+04
2025-09-21 39.007774 67.895771 128.122990 288.827167 849.750919 4004.238564 1.008673e+05
2025-09-28 37.036090 65.164160 124.810905 288.150375 884.664813 4576.480690 1.800351e+05
2025-10-05 36.502534 65.316019 128.065298 307.148005 1011.276827 6150.320754 6.546646e+05
2025-10-12 36.259742 66.042194 132.762126 331.878294 1182.111341 8750.205755 6.710901e+06
2025-10-19 34.799816 64.033912 130.608803 334.591234 1250.224122 10518.527705 1.200130e+08
2025-10-26 33.752392 62.828455 130.290877 343.352990 1357.701059 13413.580103 NaN
2025-11-02 32.306609 60.626921 127.206595 342.075509 1409.821193 15774.455234 NaN